NFL Week 9 Picks

Last Week: 3-2 Overall: 20-20

Almost halfway through the season and right at .500. Have some work to do to make some money!

New York Jets plus 6.5 v New Orleans Saints: Bad Geno means good Geno comes next. New Orleans struggles offensively on the road especially on the ground. I think the Jets pull the upset 20-19.

Tennessee minus 3 at St. Louis: Yes the Rams defense kept the game close against Seattle but they’re not in primetime, they’re on a short week, and Tennessee is coming off of a bye. Kellen Clemens is so so bad. Titans win 27-13.

Washington minus 1 v. San Diego: What choice does Washington have but to win home games? They have been so bad this season but this is the time of year where San Diego starts to deteriorate so what better time to do so against a desperate team on the road on the east coast with a 1:00 start time. Skins win 31-24.

Seattle minus 15.5 v Tampa Bay. Look for the defense to make plays for Seattle. The offensive was so anemic last week that I think Lynch will get the ball a lot in a simplified approach. Rookie quarterbacks and winless teams don’t fair well in the Pacific Northwest so why would this week be any different? Seattle ugly 31-14.

Indianapolis minus 2 at Houston: Houston is the home team with awful fans for a primetime game that pits them against Andrew Luck. Those fans will turn on the Keenum led Texans early and Luck will execute a victory. Colts 28-17.

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NFL Week 7 Picks

Last Week: 2-3 Overall: 14-16

Kansas City minus 6.5 v Houston: I’ve bet on Kansas City often and it has been very successful this season. Case Keenum will make his first career start and Case Keenum is not an NFL quarterback. Besides, Kansas City’s defense is one of the best in the NFL, especially at home. Chiefs win 24-10.

Dallas plus 3 at Philadelphia: Dallas is not the same on the road and Murray is out but the Eagles defense is terrible and Nick Foles loses more often than not when he doesn’t start against Tampa Bay.  Dallas 28-27

New England minus 3.5 at NY Jets: The Jets did not score a touchdown at home last week and their receiving score is still beleaguered by injuries. Gronk is back and that will serve at the very least as a decoy for Tom Brady and a group of wideouts who are progressing. Patriots 31-17

Pittsburgh minus 2 v Baltimore: This is a tough game to pick but Baltimore is not a good road team. The Steelers have some confidence from finally winning last week and the defense should be able to get to Flacco. Steelers win ugly 23-19.

New York Giants minus 3.5 v Minnesota: Freeman is making  his debut and the Giants have had 10 days to prepare for this home game. The giants finally remove the goose egg in the win column 27-13.

NFL Week 5 Picks

Tough week last week thanks to Houston.

Last Week: 2-3 Overall: 10-10

Kansas City minus 3 at Tennessee: This is solely for the opportunity to bet against Ryan Fitzpatrick.  23-16

Jacksonville plus 11.5 at St. Louis. I know it’s Jacksonville but they have to win once right? St. Louis is not great offensively. Rams win 20-13

Chicago plus 1 vs New Orleans. Saints are coming off of a short week and they think they’re good. Chicago the complete opposite after giving up 40 to Detroit. The NFL is funny this way…bet on Chicago. Bears win 27-24 OT

San Fran minus 6 v. Houston. A long time to prepare for Harbaugh and the troops. Home game in primetime usually favors the Niners. S.F. wins 31-17

Atlanta minus 10 v. NY Jets. The Jets and especially Geno Smith are terrible. Take the Falcons at home who are DESPERATE to win. Falcons 34-10.

NFL Week 4 Picks

Last Week’s Record: 3-2  Overall Record: 8-7

Over .500…not bad.

Pittsburgh minus 2.5 at Minnesota (London) Matt Cassel is seemingly an upgrade over Christian Ponder but he is turnover prone and, believe it or not, Minnesota’s problem is not offense. They have been scoring points, their defense is the issue. The Steelers problem is their offense and I think this week is a perfect matchup to change their fortunes a little bit. Steelers win 24-13

Houston plus 2.5 v. Seattle – Some regard Seattle as the best team in the league but Houston needs this game coming off of a road blowout in Baltimore and Seattle is a different team on the road. I like Houston 23-17

Washington minus 3.5 at Oakland – Never trust an 0-3 road favorite but I think Washington will finally have a satisfactory matchup for thieir awful defense. Raiders are unsure of Pryor’s concussion health and McFadden has been as entertaining as Run DMC’s current rap skills. Washington 27-19.

Denver minus 11 v Philly Denver is 3-0 against the spread so far and the line is high but Philly just can’t stop anyone. I would not be shocked if they cover however because they can score but Denver can so easily win by three scores against any opponent than even money says Denver covers again this week at altitude. Denver 45-28

Atlanta minus 2 v New England: Gronkowski is not expected to play and Wes Welker is still playing for Denver so the Patriots are weapon-challenged. Ridley has been awful and Amendola is also on the shelf. This is a primetime game which usually favors New England but Atlanta is tough at home, especially coming off of a loss, and with the Saints undefeated the Falcons cannot afford to lose this game. Atlanta wins 30-27.

NFL Week 3 Picks

Last Week: 3-2 Overall: 5-5

Philadelphia minus 3 v Kansas City. The Philadelphia Eagles spoiled their own home opener by not covering…anyone! The Kansas City Chiefs are a more balanced and limited offensive attack that will not be able to throw for 300 plus yards with Alex Smith at the helm. As long as Jamaal Charles doesn’t break off large runs and Michael Vick remains upright, the Eagles will win this one 31-23.

Minnesota minus 6.5 v. Cleveland. Goodbye Trent Richardson, hello Brian Hoyer. The Cleveland Browns offensive situation is offensive. They have a good defense but Peterson alone should be able to outscore the Browns. Minnesota Vikings 21-10.

New Orleans minus 7.5 v. Arizona. The Arizona Cardinals won last week. Chances are that lowers the probability of that event recurring this Sunday. New Orleans Saints are tough at home and the offense is yet to show its signature breakout ability and I think that will be showcased this week against the Cardinals. Saints win 45-24.

Baltimore plus 3 v. Houston. No Ray Rice? No problem. The Houston Texans could easily be 0-2 and so could the Baltimore Ravens, but I like Baltimore at home to eke this one out. Torrey Smith has a breakout game and the hampered abilities of Arian Foster lead to offensive stagnation for the Texans. Ravens 20-16.

Seattle minus 19.5 v Jacksonville. TEBOW TEBOW TEBOW. Oh wait, not yet. The Jacksonville Jaguars are pathetic, Maurice Jones-Drew is hurt and Blaine Gabbert is out (which might make this bet worse). The Seattle Seahawks are true birds of prey at home and will set up scores with their defense and Russel Wilson, along with Beastmode Marshawn Lynch will contribute to a blowout. Seattle 38-3

NFL Week 2 Picks

Last Week’s Record: 2-3 Overall Record: 2-3

Shaky start, but here goes.

Houston minus 9 v. Tennessee. Jake Locker on the road can’t be good two weeks in a row right? Houston will run the ball to set up the pass and win by two scores. 38-17

Atlanta minus 6.5 v St. Louis. Atlanta needs this game and St. Louis narrowly escaped against the Cardinals last week. Atlanta is an incredible team at home. The Roddy White injury is damaging but don’t underestimate Stephen Jackson’s energy level going up against his former team. 34-20

Denver minus 4.5 at Giants. Peyton will stay undefeated in the Manning bowls. Neither team knows who will run the ball for them but luckily that’s why they have the Mannings to throw it. Of the two, Peyton is better than Eli and with the longer layoff after starting last Thursday that means more time to prepare. Giants secondary is not great. They need the D-Line to win the game if they are to win. 28-23

Washington plus 7 at Green Bay. Don’t get me wrong, I think the Packers win here but this is just too much to turn down. Green Bay doesn’t have a defense and Washington found a rhythm in the second half on Monday night.  Packers 31-28

Dallas plus 3 at Kansas City-This is an incredibly perplexing matchup. Dallas is a crapshoot on the road and K.C. is largely unknown. Kansas City was not incredibly crisp and efficient on offense last week and I think Dallas will be able to run on them and control the game, while Smith won’t be able to lead the comeback although it may be close. Dallas 24-20