NFL Week 1 Picks

Here are five picks for Week 1 against the spread. Also, I will add a survivor pick.

New England minus 10 at Buffalo-I know that New England’s offense is largely unknown without their murderous (had to) duo at Tight End, but the Bills under E.J. Manuel still can’t stop the run. I think Patriots win 31-17.

Tampa Bay minus 3.5 at New York Jets-This is simple, bet against Geno Smith. The fact that the Jets are at home could work against them considering their general disdain for mediocrity in spite of experiencing it for 50 years. Tampa 21 New York 13.

Cleveland minus 1.5 v. Miami. This is a tough week one task for the Dolphins to open on the road against a decent defense. With some new parts to fit in on offense and facing a more confident, experienced Brandon Weeden the Browns take this 23 19.

Oakland plus 10.5 at Indianapolis. I’m not sure why people are so high on Indianapolis entering the season. New OC, questions at running back, and still a mid-tier defense. The large unknown in this game is Terrelle Pryor. I think with all big, mobile QB’s the adjustment their opponents must make is under-appreciated. Colts win 27 20 and Oakland covers.

Seattle minus 3 at Carolina. Despite the cross country trip, Seattle will look to continue last  year’s momentum against Cam Newton and the Carolina Panthers. Wilson can play mistake free football and Lynch can carve up this opposing D and Seattle rolls 24 17.

I don’t like taking 4 road teams in the NFL, however, Week 1 is the time to do it considering what we don’t know certainly outweighs what we do know.

Survivor Pick: Pittsburgh

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